A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change

Lea Berrang-Ford; A. R. Siders; Alexandra Lesnikowski; Alexandra Paige Fischer; Max W. Callaghan; Neal R. Haddaway; Katharine J. Mach; Malcolm Araos; Mohammad Aminur Rahman Shah; Mia Wannewitz; Deepal Doshi; Timo Leiter; Custodio Matavel; Justice Issah Musah-Surugu; Gabrielle Wong-Parodi; Philip Antwi-Agyei; Idowu Ajibade; Neha Chauhan; William Kakenmaster; Caitlin Grady; Vasiliki I. Chalastani; Kripa Jagannathan; Eranga K. Galappaththi; Asha Sitati; Giulia Scarpa; Edmond Totin; Katy Davis; Nikita Charles Hamilton; Christine J. Kirchhoff; Praveen Kumar; Brian Pentz; Nicholas P. Simpson; Emily Theokritoff; Delphine Deryng; Diana Reckien; Carol Zavaleta-Cortijo; Nicola Ulibarri; Alcade C. Segnon; Vhalinavho Khavhagali; Yuanyuan Shang; Luckson Zvobgo; Zinta Zommers; Jiren Xu; Portia Adade Williams; Ivan Villaverde Canosa; Nicole van Maanen; Bianca van Bavel; Maarten van Aalst; Lynée L. Turek-Hankins; Hasti Trivedi; Christopher H. Trisos; Adelle Thomas; Shinny Thakur; Sienna Templeman; Lindsay C. Stringer; Garry Sotnik; Kathryn Dana Sjostrom; Chandni Singh; Mariella Z. Siña; Roopam Shukla; Jordi Sardans; Eunice A. Salubi; Lolita Shaila Safaee Chalkasra; Raquel Ruiz-Díaz; Carys Richards; Pratik Pokharel; Jan Petzold; Josep Penuelas; Julia Pelaez Avila; Julia B.Pazmino Murillo; Souha Ouni; Jennifer Niemann; Miriam Nielsen; Mark New; Patricia Nayna Schwerdtle; Gabriela Nagle Alverio; Cristina A. Mullin; Joshua Mullenite; Anuszka Mosurska; Mike D. Morecroft; Jan C. Minx; Gina Maskell; Abraham Marshall Nunbogu; Alexandre K. Magnan; Shuaib Lwasa; Megan Lukas-Sithole; Tabea Lissner; Oliver Lilford; Steven F. Koller; Matthew Jurjonas; Elphin Tom Joe; Lam T.M. Huynh; Avery Hill; Rebecca R. Hernandez; Greeshma Hegde; Tom Hawxwell; Sherilee Harper; Alexandra Harden; Marjolijn Haasnoot; Elisabeth A. Gilmore; Leah Gichuki; Alyssa Gatt; Matthias Garschagen; James D. Ford; Andrew Forbes; Aidan D. Farrell; Carolyn A.F. Enquist; Susan Elliott; Emily Duncan; Erin Coughlan de Perez; Shaugn Coggins; Tara Chen; Donovan Campbell; Katherine E. Browne; Kathryn J. Bowen; Robbert Biesbroek; Indra D. Bhatt; Rachel Bezner Kerr; Stephanie L. Barr; Emily Baker; Stephanie E. Austin; Ingrid Arotoma-Rojas; Christa Anderson; Warda Ajaz; Tanvi Agrawal; Thelma Zulfawu Abu

doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y

A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change

Lea Berrang-Ford^*, A. R. Siders, Alexandra Lesnikowski, Alexandra Paige Fischer, Max W. Callaghan, Neal R. Haddaway, Katharine J. Mach, Malcolm Araos, Mohammad Aminur Rahman Shah, Mia Wannewitz, Deepal Doshi, Timo Leiter, Custodio Matavel, Justice Issah Musah-Surugu, Gabrielle Wong-Parodi, Philip Antwi-Agyei, Idowu Ajibade, Neha Chauhan, William Kakenmaster, Caitlin GradyVasiliki I. Chalastani, Kripa Jagannathan, Eranga K. Galappaththi, Asha Sitati, Giulia Scarpa, Edmond Totin, Katy Davis, Nikita Charles Hamilton, Christine J. Kirchhoff, Praveen Kumar, Brian Pentz, Nicholas P. Simpson, Emily Theokritoff, Delphine Deryng, Diana Reckien, Carol Zavaleta-Cortijo, Nicola Ulibarri, Alcade C. Segnon, Vhalinavho Khavhagali, Yuanyuan Shang, Luckson Zvobgo, Zinta Zommers, Jiren Xu, Portia Adade Williams, Ivan Villaverde Canosa, Nicole van Maanen, Bianca van Bavel, Maarten van Aalst, Lynée L. Turek-Hankins, Hasti Trivedi, Christopher H. Trisos, Adelle Thomas, Shinny Thakur, Sienna Templeman, Lindsay C. Stringer, Garry Sotnik, Kathryn Dana Sjostrom, Chandni Singh, Mariella Z. Siña, Roopam Shukla, Jordi Sardans, Eunice A. Salubi, Lolita Shaila Safaee Chalkasra, Raquel Ruiz-Díaz, Carys Richards, Pratik Pokharel, Jan Petzold, Josep Penuelas, Julia Pelaez Avila, Julia B.Pazmino Murillo, Souha Ouni, Jennifer Niemann, Miriam Nielsen, Mark New, Patricia Nayna Schwerdtle, Gabriela Nagle Alverio, Cristina A. Mullin, Joshua Mullenite, Anuszka Mosurska, Mike D. Morecroft, Jan C. Minx, Gina Maskell, Abraham Marshall Nunbogu, Alexandre K. Magnan, Shuaib Lwasa, Megan Lukas-Sithole, Tabea Lissner, Oliver Lilford, Steven F. Koller, Matthew Jurjonas, Elphin Tom Joe, Lam T.M. Huynh, Avery Hill, Rebecca R. Hernandez, Greeshma Hegde, Tom Hawxwell, Sherilee Harper, Alexandra Harden, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Elisabeth A. Gilmore, Leah Gichuki, Alyssa Gatt, Matthias Garschagen, James D. Ford, Andrew Forbes, Aidan D. Farrell, Carolyn A.F. Enquist, Susan Elliott, Emily Duncan, Erin Coughlan de Perez, Shaugn Coggins, Tara Chen, Donovan Campbell, Katherine E. Browne, Kathryn J. Bowen, Robbert Biesbroek, Indra D. Bhatt, Rachel Bezner Kerr, Stephanie L. Barr, Emily Baker, Stephanie E. Austin, Ingrid Arotoma-Rojas, Christa Anderson, Warda Ajaz, Tanvi Agrawal, Thelma Zulfawu Abu

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

Assessing global progress on human adaptation to climate change is an urgent priority. Although the literature on adaptation to climate change is rapidly expanding, little is known about the actual extent of implementation. We systematically screened >48,000 articles using machine learning methods and a global network of 126 researchers. Our synthesis of the resulting 1,682 articles presents a systematic and comprehensive global stocktake of implemented human adaptation to climate change. Documented adaptations were largely fragmented, local and incremental, with limited evidence of transformational adaptation and negligible evidence of risk reduction outcomes. We identify eight priorities for global adaptation research: assess the effectiveness of adaptation responses, enhance the understanding of limits to adaptation, enable individuals and civil society to adapt, include missing places, scholars and scholarship, understand private sector responses, improve methods for synthesizing different forms of evidence, assess the adaptation at different temperature thresholds, and improve the inclusion of timescale and the dynamics of responses.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	989-1000
Number of pages	12
Journal	Nature Climate Change
Volume	11
Issue number	11
Early online date	28 Oct 2021
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y
Publication status	Published - 1 Nov 2021

Bibliographical note

This is an author-produced version of the published paper. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher’s self-archiving policy. Further copying may not be permitted; contact the publisher for details.

Access to Document

10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y

NCLIM-20102513C_Manuscript_Edits_1630058569_2 accepted pre-print
This is an author-produced version of the published paper. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher’s self-archiving policy. Further copying may not be permitted; contact the publisher for details
Accepted author manuscript, 1.11 MBLicence: Unspecified

Cite this

Berrang-Ford, L., Siders, A. R., Lesnikowski, A., Fischer, A. P., Callaghan, M. W., Haddaway, N. R., Mach, K. J., Araos, M., Shah, M. A. R., Wannewitz, M., Doshi, D., Leiter, T., Matavel, C., Musah-Surugu, J. I., Wong-Parodi, G., Antwi-Agyei, P., Ajibade, I., Chauhan, N., Kakenmaster, W., ... Abu, T. Z. (2021). A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change. Nature Climate Change, 11(11), 989-1000. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y

@article{65beb6e1dcf84515aa50c33dd42af115,

title = "A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change",

abstract = "Assessing global progress on human adaptation to climate change is an urgent priority. Although the literature on adaptation to climate change is rapidly expanding, little is known about the actual extent of implementation. We systematically screened >48,000 articles using machine learning methods and a global network of 126 researchers. Our synthesis of the resulting 1,682 articles presents a systematic and comprehensive global stocktake of implemented human adaptation to climate change. Documented adaptations were largely fragmented, local and incremental, with limited evidence of transformational adaptation and negligible evidence of risk reduction outcomes. We identify eight priorities for global adaptation research: assess the effectiveness of adaptation responses, enhance the understanding of limits to adaptation, enable individuals and civil society to adapt, include missing places, scholars and scholarship, understand private sector responses, improve methods for synthesizing different forms of evidence, assess the adaptation at different temperature thresholds, and improve the inclusion of timescale and the dynamics of responses.",

author = "Lea Berrang-Ford and Siders, {A. R.} and Alexandra Lesnikowski and Fischer, {Alexandra Paige} and Callaghan, {Max W.} and Haddaway, {Neal R.} and Mach, {Katharine J.} and Malcolm Araos and Shah, {Mohammad Aminur Rahman} and Mia Wannewitz and Deepal Doshi and Timo Leiter and Custodio Matavel and Musah-Surugu, {Justice Issah} and Gabrielle Wong-Parodi and Philip Antwi-Agyei and Idowu Ajibade and Neha Chauhan and William Kakenmaster and Caitlin Grady and Chalastani, {Vasiliki I.} and Kripa Jagannathan and Galappaththi, {Eranga K.} and Asha Sitati and Giulia Scarpa and Edmond Totin and Katy Davis and Hamilton, {Nikita Charles} and Kirchhoff, {Christine J.} and Praveen Kumar and Brian Pentz and Simpson, {Nicholas P.} and Emily Theokritoff and Delphine Deryng and Diana Reckien and Carol Zavaleta-Cortijo and Nicola Ulibarri and Segnon, {Alcade C.} and Vhalinavho Khavhagali and Yuanyuan Shang and Luckson Zvobgo and Zinta Zommers and Jiren Xu and Williams, {Portia Adade} and Canosa, {Ivan Villaverde} and {van Maanen}, Nicole and {van Bavel}, Bianca and {van Aalst}, Maarten and Turek-Hankins, {Lyn{\'e}e L.} and Hasti Trivedi and Trisos, {Christopher H.} and Adelle Thomas and Shinny Thakur and Sienna Templeman and Stringer, {Lindsay C.} and Garry Sotnik and Sjostrom, {Kathryn Dana} and Chandni Singh and Si{\~n}a, {Mariella Z.} and Roopam Shukla and Jordi Sardans and Salubi, {Eunice A.} and {Safaee Chalkasra}, {Lolita Shaila} and Raquel Ruiz-D{\'i}az and Carys Richards and Pratik Pokharel and Jan Petzold and Josep Penuelas and {Pelaez Avila}, Julia and Murillo, {Julia B.Pazmino} and Souha Ouni and Jennifer Niemann and Miriam Nielsen and Mark New and {Nayna Schwerdtle}, Patricia and {Nagle Alverio}, Gabriela and Mullin, {Cristina A.} and Joshua Mullenite and Anuszka Mosurska and Morecroft, {Mike D.} and Minx, {Jan C.} and Gina Maskell and Nunbogu, {Abraham Marshall} and Magnan, {Alexandre K.} and Shuaib Lwasa and Megan Lukas-Sithole and Tabea Lissner and Oliver Lilford and Koller, {Steven F.} and Matthew Jurjonas and Joe, {Elphin Tom} and Huynh, {Lam T.M.} and Avery Hill and Hernandez, {Rebecca R.} and Greeshma Hegde and Tom Hawxwell and Sherilee Harper and Alexandra Harden and Marjolijn Haasnoot and Gilmore, {Elisabeth A.} and Leah Gichuki and Alyssa Gatt and Matthias Garschagen and Ford, {James D.} and Andrew Forbes and Farrell, {Aidan D.} and Enquist, {Carolyn A.F.} and Susan Elliott and Emily Duncan and {Coughlan de Perez}, Erin and Shaugn Coggins and Tara Chen and Donovan Campbell and Browne, {Katherine E.} and Bowen, {Kathryn J.} and Robbert Biesbroek and Bhatt, {Indra D.} and {Bezner Kerr}, Rachel and Barr, {Stephanie L.} and Emily Baker and Austin, {Stephanie E.} and Ingrid Arotoma-Rojas and Christa Anderson and Warda Ajaz and Tanvi Agrawal and Abu, {Thelma Zulfawu}",

note = "This is an author-produced version of the published paper. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher{\textquoteright}s self-archiving policy. Further copying may not be permitted; contact the publisher for details.",

year = "2021",

month = nov,

day = "1",

doi = "10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y",

language = "English",

volume = "11",

pages = "989--1000",

journal = "Nature Climate Change",

issn = "1758-678X",

publisher = "Nature Publishing Group",

number = "11",

}

Berrang-Ford, L, Siders, AR, Lesnikowski, A, Fischer, AP, Callaghan, MW, Haddaway, NR, Mach, KJ, Araos, M, Shah, MAR, Wannewitz, M, Doshi, D, Leiter, T, Matavel, C, Musah-Surugu, JI, Wong-Parodi, G, Antwi-Agyei, P, Ajibade, I, Chauhan, N, Kakenmaster, W, Grady, C, Chalastani, VI, Jagannathan, K, Galappaththi, EK, Sitati, A, Scarpa, G, Totin, E, Davis, K, Hamilton, NC, Kirchhoff, CJ, Kumar, P, Pentz, B, Simpson, NP, Theokritoff, E, Deryng, D, Reckien, D, Zavaleta-Cortijo, C, Ulibarri, N, Segnon, AC, Khavhagali, V, Shang, Y, Zvobgo, L, Zommers, Z, Xu, J, Williams, PA, Canosa, IV, van Maanen, N, van Bavel, B, van Aalst, M, Turek-Hankins, LL, Trivedi, H, Trisos, CH, Thomas, A, Thakur, S, Templeman, S, Stringer, LC, Sotnik, G, Sjostrom, KD, Singh, C, Siña, MZ, Shukla, R, Sardans, J, Salubi, EA, Safaee Chalkasra, LS, Ruiz-Díaz, R, Richards, C, Pokharel, P, Petzold, J, Penuelas, J, Pelaez Avila, J, Murillo, JBP, Ouni, S, Niemann, J, Nielsen, M, New, M, Nayna Schwerdtle, P, Nagle Alverio, G, Mullin, CA, Mullenite, J, Mosurska, A, Morecroft, MD, Minx, JC, Maskell, G, Nunbogu, AM, Magnan, AK, Lwasa, S, Lukas-Sithole, M, Lissner, T, Lilford, O, Koller, SF, Jurjonas, M, Joe, ET, Huynh, LTM, Hill, A, Hernandez, RR, Hegde, G, Hawxwell, T, Harper, S, Harden, A, Haasnoot, M, Gilmore, EA, Gichuki, L, Gatt, A, Garschagen, M, Ford, JD, Forbes, A, Farrell, AD, Enquist, CAF, Elliott, S, Duncan, E, Coughlan de Perez, E, Coggins, S, Chen, T, Campbell, D, Browne, KE, Bowen, KJ, Biesbroek, R, Bhatt, ID, Bezner Kerr, R, Barr, SL, Baker, E, Austin, SE, Arotoma-Rojas, I, Anderson, C, Ajaz, W, Agrawal, T & Abu, TZ 2021, 'A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change', Nature Climate Change, vol. 11, no. 11, pp. 989-1000. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y

TY - JOUR

T1 - A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change

AU - Berrang-Ford, Lea

AU - Siders, A. R.

AU - Lesnikowski, Alexandra

AU - Fischer, Alexandra Paige

AU - Callaghan, Max W.

AU - Haddaway, Neal R.

AU - Mach, Katharine J.

AU - Araos, Malcolm

AU - Shah, Mohammad Aminur Rahman

AU - Wannewitz, Mia

AU - Doshi, Deepal

AU - Leiter, Timo

AU - Matavel, Custodio

AU - Musah-Surugu, Justice Issah

AU - Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle

AU - Antwi-Agyei, Philip

AU - Ajibade, Idowu

AU - Chauhan, Neha

AU - Kakenmaster, William

AU - Grady, Caitlin

AU - Chalastani, Vasiliki I.

AU - Jagannathan, Kripa

AU - Galappaththi, Eranga K.

AU - Sitati, Asha

AU - Scarpa, Giulia

AU - Totin, Edmond

AU - Davis, Katy

AU - Hamilton, Nikita Charles

AU - Kirchhoff, Christine J.

AU - Kumar, Praveen

AU - Pentz, Brian

AU - Simpson, Nicholas P.

AU - Theokritoff, Emily

AU - Deryng, Delphine

AU - Reckien, Diana

AU - Zavaleta-Cortijo, Carol

AU - Ulibarri, Nicola

AU - Segnon, Alcade C.

AU - Khavhagali, Vhalinavho

AU - Shang, Yuanyuan

AU - Zvobgo, Luckson

AU - Zommers, Zinta

AU - Xu, Jiren

AU - Williams, Portia Adade

AU - Canosa, Ivan Villaverde

AU - van Maanen, Nicole

AU - van Bavel, Bianca

AU - van Aalst, Maarten

AU - Turek-Hankins, Lynée L.

AU - Trivedi, Hasti

AU - Trisos, Christopher H.

AU - Thomas, Adelle

AU - Thakur, Shinny

AU - Templeman, Sienna

AU - Stringer, Lindsay C.

AU - Sotnik, Garry

AU - Sjostrom, Kathryn Dana

AU - Singh, Chandni

AU - Siña, Mariella Z.

AU - Shukla, Roopam

AU - Sardans, Jordi

AU - Salubi, Eunice A.

AU - Safaee Chalkasra, Lolita Shaila

AU - Ruiz-Díaz, Raquel

AU - Richards, Carys

AU - Pokharel, Pratik

AU - Petzold, Jan

AU - Penuelas, Josep

AU - Pelaez Avila, Julia

AU - Murillo, Julia B.Pazmino

AU - Ouni, Souha

AU - Niemann, Jennifer

AU - Nielsen, Miriam

AU - New, Mark

AU - Nayna Schwerdtle, Patricia

AU - Nagle Alverio, Gabriela

AU - Mullin, Cristina A.

AU - Mullenite, Joshua

AU - Mosurska, Anuszka

AU - Morecroft, Mike D.

AU - Minx, Jan C.

AU - Maskell, Gina

AU - Nunbogu, Abraham Marshall

AU - Magnan, Alexandre K.

AU - Lwasa, Shuaib

AU - Lukas-Sithole, Megan

AU - Lissner, Tabea

AU - Lilford, Oliver

AU - Koller, Steven F.

AU - Jurjonas, Matthew

AU - Joe, Elphin Tom

AU - Huynh, Lam T.M.

AU - Hill, Avery

AU - Hernandez, Rebecca R.

AU - Hegde, Greeshma

AU - Hawxwell, Tom

AU - Harper, Sherilee

AU - Harden, Alexandra

AU - Haasnoot, Marjolijn

AU - Gilmore, Elisabeth A.

AU - Gichuki, Leah

AU - Gatt, Alyssa

AU - Garschagen, Matthias

AU - Ford, James D.

AU - Forbes, Andrew

AU - Farrell, Aidan D.

AU - Enquist, Carolyn A.F.

AU - Elliott, Susan

AU - Duncan, Emily

AU - Coughlan de Perez, Erin

AU - Coggins, Shaugn

AU - Chen, Tara

AU - Campbell, Donovan

AU - Browne, Katherine E.

AU - Bowen, Kathryn J.

AU - Biesbroek, Robbert

AU - Bhatt, Indra D.

AU - Bezner Kerr, Rachel

AU - Barr, Stephanie L.

AU - Baker, Emily

AU - Austin, Stephanie E.

AU - Arotoma-Rojas, Ingrid

AU - Anderson, Christa

AU - Ajaz, Warda

AU - Agrawal, Tanvi

AU - Abu, Thelma Zulfawu

N1 - This is an author-produced version of the published paper. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher’s self-archiving policy. Further copying may not be permitted; contact the publisher for details.

PY - 2021/11/1

Y1 - 2021/11/1

N2 - Assessing global progress on human adaptation to climate change is an urgent priority. Although the literature on adaptation to climate change is rapidly expanding, little is known about the actual extent of implementation. We systematically screened >48,000 articles using machine learning methods and a global network of 126 researchers. Our synthesis of the resulting 1,682 articles presents a systematic and comprehensive global stocktake of implemented human adaptation to climate change. Documented adaptations were largely fragmented, local and incremental, with limited evidence of transformational adaptation and negligible evidence of risk reduction outcomes. We identify eight priorities for global adaptation research: assess the effectiveness of adaptation responses, enhance the understanding of limits to adaptation, enable individuals and civil society to adapt, include missing places, scholars and scholarship, understand private sector responses, improve methods for synthesizing different forms of evidence, assess the adaptation at different temperature thresholds, and improve the inclusion of timescale and the dynamics of responses.

AB - Assessing global progress on human adaptation to climate change is an urgent priority. Although the literature on adaptation to climate change is rapidly expanding, little is known about the actual extent of implementation. We systematically screened >48,000 articles using machine learning methods and a global network of 126 researchers. Our synthesis of the resulting 1,682 articles presents a systematic and comprehensive global stocktake of implemented human adaptation to climate change. Documented adaptations were largely fragmented, local and incremental, with limited evidence of transformational adaptation and negligible evidence of risk reduction outcomes. We identify eight priorities for global adaptation research: assess the effectiveness of adaptation responses, enhance the understanding of limits to adaptation, enable individuals and civil society to adapt, include missing places, scholars and scholarship, understand private sector responses, improve methods for synthesizing different forms of evidence, assess the adaptation at different temperature thresholds, and improve the inclusion of timescale and the dynamics of responses.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85118175179&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y

DO - 10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85118175179

SN - 1758-678X

VL - 11

SP - 989

EP - 1000

JO - Nature Climate Change

JF - Nature Climate Change

IS - 11

ER -

A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change

Abstract

Bibliographical note

Access to Document

Other files and links

Cite this