An application of Selten's measure of predictive success

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Abstract

This paper applies Selten's measure of predictive success to the problem of comparing and ranking various theories of decision making under risk. Two experiments were carried out for this application: one a Pairwise Choice experiment involving 15 such choices and the other a Complete Ranking experiment involving 11 risky choices. The results show that there are difficulties of both a practical and a philosophical nature in applying Selten's measure. (C) 1998 Elsevier Science B.V.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)115
Number of pages15
JournalMathematical Social Sciences
Volume35
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - Jan 1998

Keywords

  • Selten's measure
  • predictive success
  • decision making
  • UTILITY

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