An economic evaluation of targeted case-finding strategies for identifying postnatal depression: A model-based analysis comparing common case-finding instruments

Elizabeth M Camacho, Gemma E Shields, Emily Eisner, Elizabeth Littlewood, Kylie Watson, Carolyn A Chew-Graham, Dean McMillan, Shehzad Ali, Simon Gilbody

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Half of women with postnatal depression (PND) are not identified in routine care. We aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of PND case-finding in women with risk factors for PND.

METHODS: A decision tree was developed to represent the one-year costs and health outcomes associated with case-finding and treatment for PND. The sensitivity and specificity of case-finding instruments, and prevalence and severity of PND, for women with ≥1 PND risk factor were estimated from a cohort of postnatal women. Risk factors were history of anxiety/depression, age < 20 years, and adverse life events. Other model parameters were derived from published literature and expert consultation. Case-finding for high-risk women only was compared with no case-finding and universal case-finding.

RESULTS: More than half of the cohort had one or more PND risk factor (57.8 %; 95 % CI 52.7 %-62.7 %). The most cost-effective case-finding strategy was the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale with a cut-off of ≥10 (EPDS-10). Among high-risk women, there is a high probability that EPDS-10 case-finding for PND is cost-effective compared to no case-finding (78.5 % at a threshold of £20,000/QALY), with an ICER of £8146/QALY gained. Universal case-finding is even more cost-effective at £2945/QALY gained (versus no case-finding). There is a greater health improvement with universal rather than targeted case-finding.

LIMITATIONS: The model includes costs and health benefits for mothers in the first year postpartum, the broader (e.g. families, societal) and long-term impacts are also important.

CONCLUSIONS: Universal PND case-finding is more cost-effective than targeted case-finding which itself is more cost-effective than not case-finding.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)26-34
Number of pages9
JournalJournal of affective disorders
Volume334
Early online date5 May 2023
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Aug 2023

Bibliographical note

© 2023 The Authors

Keywords

  • Female
  • Humans
  • Young Adult
  • Adult
  • Depression, Postpartum/diagnosis
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis
  • Depression
  • Mothers
  • Risk Factors

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