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Can scenario-planning support community-based natural resource management? Experiences from three countries in Latin America

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Can scenario-planning support community-based natural resource management? Experiences from three countries in Latin America. / Waylen, Kerry A.; Martin-Ortega, Julia; Blackstock, Kirsty L.; Brown, Iain; Avendaño Uribe, Bryan E.; Basurto Hernández, Saúl; Bertoni, María Belén; Bustos, M. Lujan; Cruz Bayer, Alejandra Xóchitl; Escalante Semerena, Roberto Ivan; Farah Quijano, Maria Adelaida; Ferrelli, Federico; Fidalgo, Guillermo Luis; Hernández López, Israel; Huamantinco Cisneros, María Andrea; London, Silvia; Maya Vélez, Diana L.; Ocampo-Díaz, Natalia; Ortiz-Guerrero, Cesar E.; Pascale, Juan Carlos; Perillo, Gerardo M E; Piccolo, M. Cintia; Pinzón Martínez, Lina N.; Rojas, Mara L.; Scordo, Facundo; Vitale, Valeria; Zilio, Mariana I.

In: Ecology and Society, Vol. 20, No. 4, 28, 2015.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Harvard

Waylen, KA, Martin-Ortega, J, Blackstock, KL, Brown, I, Avendaño Uribe, BE, Basurto Hernández, S, Bertoni, MB, Bustos, ML, Cruz Bayer, AX, Escalante Semerena, RI, Farah Quijano, MA, Ferrelli, F, Fidalgo, GL, Hernández López, I, Huamantinco Cisneros, MA, London, S, Maya Vélez, DL, Ocampo-Díaz, N, Ortiz-Guerrero, CE, Pascale, JC, Perillo, GME, Piccolo, MC, Pinzón Martínez, LN, Rojas, ML, Scordo, F, Vitale, V & Zilio, MI 2015, 'Can scenario-planning support community-based natural resource management? Experiences from three countries in Latin America', Ecology and Society, vol. 20, no. 4, 28. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07926-200428

APA

Waylen, K. A., Martin-Ortega, J., Blackstock, K. L., Brown, I., Avendaño Uribe, B. E., Basurto Hernández, S., Bertoni, M. B., Bustos, M. L., Cruz Bayer, A. X., Escalante Semerena, R. I., Farah Quijano, M. A., Ferrelli, F., Fidalgo, G. L., Hernández López, I., Huamantinco Cisneros, M. A., London, S., Maya Vélez, D. L., Ocampo-Díaz, N., Ortiz-Guerrero, C. E., ... Zilio, M. I. (2015). Can scenario-planning support community-based natural resource management? Experiences from three countries in Latin America. Ecology and Society, 20(4), [28]. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07926-200428

Vancouver

Waylen KA, Martin-Ortega J, Blackstock KL, Brown I, Avendaño Uribe BE, Basurto Hernández S et al. Can scenario-planning support community-based natural resource management? Experiences from three countries in Latin America. Ecology and Society. 2015;20(4). 28. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07926-200428

Author

Waylen, Kerry A. ; Martin-Ortega, Julia ; Blackstock, Kirsty L. ; Brown, Iain ; Avendaño Uribe, Bryan E. ; Basurto Hernández, Saúl ; Bertoni, María Belén ; Bustos, M. Lujan ; Cruz Bayer, Alejandra Xóchitl ; Escalante Semerena, Roberto Ivan ; Farah Quijano, Maria Adelaida ; Ferrelli, Federico ; Fidalgo, Guillermo Luis ; Hernández López, Israel ; Huamantinco Cisneros, María Andrea ; London, Silvia ; Maya Vélez, Diana L. ; Ocampo-Díaz, Natalia ; Ortiz-Guerrero, Cesar E. ; Pascale, Juan Carlos ; Perillo, Gerardo M E ; Piccolo, M. Cintia ; Pinzón Martínez, Lina N. ; Rojas, Mara L. ; Scordo, Facundo ; Vitale, Valeria ; Zilio, Mariana I. / Can scenario-planning support community-based natural resource management? Experiences from three countries in Latin America. In: Ecology and Society. 2015 ; Vol. 20, No. 4.

Bibtex - Download

@article{4df7e1caf1ea4e32aa8655a49a89bd70,
title = "Can scenario-planning support community-based natural resource management?: Experiences from three countries in Latin America",
abstract = "Community-based natural resource management (CBNRM) is a concept critical to managing social-ecological systems but whose implementation needs strengthening. Scenario planning is one approach that may offer benefits relevant to CBNRM but whose potential is not yet well understood. Therefore, we designed, trialed, and evaluated a scenario-planning method intended to support CBNRM in three cases, located in Colombia, Mexico, and Argentina. Implementing scenario planning was judged as worthwhile in all three cases, although aspects of it were challenging to facilitate. The benefits generated were relevant to strengthening CBNRM: encouraging the participation of local people and using their knowledge, enhanced consideration of and adaptation to future change, and supporting the development of systems thinking. Tracing exactly when and how these benefits arose was challenging, but two elements of the method seemed particularly useful. First, using a systematic approach to discuss how drivers of change may affect local social-ecological systems helped to foster systems thinking and identify connections between issues. Second, explicitly focusing on how to use and respond to scenarios helped identify specific practical activities, or “response options,” that would support CBNRM despite the pressures of future change. Discussions about response options also highlighted the need for support by other actors, e.g., policy groups: this raised the question of when and how other actors and other sources of knowledge should be involved in scenario planning, so as to encourage their buy-in to actions identified by the process. We suggest that other CBNRM initiatives may benefit from adapting and applying scenario planning. However, these initiatives should be carefully monitored because further research is required to understand how and when scenario-planning methods may produce benefits, as well as their strengths and weaknesses versus other methods.",
keywords = "Argentina, Climate change, Colombia, Community-based conservation, Futures thinking, Mexico, Participation, Scenario methods, Wicked problems",
author = "Waylen, {Kerry A.} and Julia Martin-Ortega and Blackstock, {Kirsty L.} and Iain Brown and {Avenda{\~n}o Uribe}, {Bryan E.} and {Basurto Hern{\'a}ndez}, Sa{\'u}l and Bertoni, {Mar{\'i}a Bel{\'e}n} and Bustos, {M. Lujan} and {Cruz Bayer}, {Alejandra X{\'o}chitl} and {Escalante Semerena}, {Roberto Ivan} and {Farah Quijano}, {Maria Adelaida} and Federico Ferrelli and Fidalgo, {Guillermo Luis} and {Hern{\'a}ndez L{\'o}pez}, Israel and {Huamantinco Cisneros}, {Mar{\'i}a Andrea} and Silvia London and {Maya V{\'e}lez}, {Diana L.} and Natalia Ocampo-D{\'i}az and Ortiz-Guerrero, {Cesar E.} and Pascale, {Juan Carlos} and Perillo, {Gerardo M E} and Piccolo, {M. Cintia} and {Pinz{\'o}n Mart{\'i}nez}, {Lina N.} and Rojas, {Mara L.} and Facundo Scordo and Valeria Vitale and Zilio, {Mariana I.}",
year = "2015",
doi = "10.5751/ES-07926-200428",
language = "English",
volume = "20",
journal = "Ecology and Society",
issn = "1708-3087",
publisher = "The Resilience Alliance",
number = "4",

}

RIS (suitable for import to EndNote) - Download

TY - JOUR

T1 - Can scenario-planning support community-based natural resource management?

T2 - Experiences from three countries in Latin America

AU - Waylen, Kerry A.

AU - Martin-Ortega, Julia

AU - Blackstock, Kirsty L.

AU - Brown, Iain

AU - Avendaño Uribe, Bryan E.

AU - Basurto Hernández, Saúl

AU - Bertoni, María Belén

AU - Bustos, M. Lujan

AU - Cruz Bayer, Alejandra Xóchitl

AU - Escalante Semerena, Roberto Ivan

AU - Farah Quijano, Maria Adelaida

AU - Ferrelli, Federico

AU - Fidalgo, Guillermo Luis

AU - Hernández López, Israel

AU - Huamantinco Cisneros, María Andrea

AU - London, Silvia

AU - Maya Vélez, Diana L.

AU - Ocampo-Díaz, Natalia

AU - Ortiz-Guerrero, Cesar E.

AU - Pascale, Juan Carlos

AU - Perillo, Gerardo M E

AU - Piccolo, M. Cintia

AU - Pinzón Martínez, Lina N.

AU - Rojas, Mara L.

AU - Scordo, Facundo

AU - Vitale, Valeria

AU - Zilio, Mariana I.

PY - 2015

Y1 - 2015

N2 - Community-based natural resource management (CBNRM) is a concept critical to managing social-ecological systems but whose implementation needs strengthening. Scenario planning is one approach that may offer benefits relevant to CBNRM but whose potential is not yet well understood. Therefore, we designed, trialed, and evaluated a scenario-planning method intended to support CBNRM in three cases, located in Colombia, Mexico, and Argentina. Implementing scenario planning was judged as worthwhile in all three cases, although aspects of it were challenging to facilitate. The benefits generated were relevant to strengthening CBNRM: encouraging the participation of local people and using their knowledge, enhanced consideration of and adaptation to future change, and supporting the development of systems thinking. Tracing exactly when and how these benefits arose was challenging, but two elements of the method seemed particularly useful. First, using a systematic approach to discuss how drivers of change may affect local social-ecological systems helped to foster systems thinking and identify connections between issues. Second, explicitly focusing on how to use and respond to scenarios helped identify specific practical activities, or “response options,” that would support CBNRM despite the pressures of future change. Discussions about response options also highlighted the need for support by other actors, e.g., policy groups: this raised the question of when and how other actors and other sources of knowledge should be involved in scenario planning, so as to encourage their buy-in to actions identified by the process. We suggest that other CBNRM initiatives may benefit from adapting and applying scenario planning. However, these initiatives should be carefully monitored because further research is required to understand how and when scenario-planning methods may produce benefits, as well as their strengths and weaknesses versus other methods.

AB - Community-based natural resource management (CBNRM) is a concept critical to managing social-ecological systems but whose implementation needs strengthening. Scenario planning is one approach that may offer benefits relevant to CBNRM but whose potential is not yet well understood. Therefore, we designed, trialed, and evaluated a scenario-planning method intended to support CBNRM in three cases, located in Colombia, Mexico, and Argentina. Implementing scenario planning was judged as worthwhile in all three cases, although aspects of it were challenging to facilitate. The benefits generated were relevant to strengthening CBNRM: encouraging the participation of local people and using their knowledge, enhanced consideration of and adaptation to future change, and supporting the development of systems thinking. Tracing exactly when and how these benefits arose was challenging, but two elements of the method seemed particularly useful. First, using a systematic approach to discuss how drivers of change may affect local social-ecological systems helped to foster systems thinking and identify connections between issues. Second, explicitly focusing on how to use and respond to scenarios helped identify specific practical activities, or “response options,” that would support CBNRM despite the pressures of future change. Discussions about response options also highlighted the need for support by other actors, e.g., policy groups: this raised the question of when and how other actors and other sources of knowledge should be involved in scenario planning, so as to encourage their buy-in to actions identified by the process. We suggest that other CBNRM initiatives may benefit from adapting and applying scenario planning. However, these initiatives should be carefully monitored because further research is required to understand how and when scenario-planning methods may produce benefits, as well as their strengths and weaknesses versus other methods.

KW - Argentina

KW - Climate change

KW - Colombia

KW - Community-based conservation

KW - Futures thinking

KW - Mexico

KW - Participation

KW - Scenario methods

KW - Wicked problems

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84953268624&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.5751/ES-07926-200428

DO - 10.5751/ES-07926-200428

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:84953268624

VL - 20

JO - Ecology and Society

JF - Ecology and Society

SN - 1708-3087

IS - 4

M1 - 28

ER -