TY - JOUR
T1 - Dynamics of energy transitions under changing socioeconomic, technological and climate conditions in Northwest Germany
AU - Ruth, Matthias
AU - Özgün, Onur
AU - Wachsmuth, Jakob
AU - Gößling-Reisemann, Stefan
PY - 2015/3/1
Y1 - 2015/3/1
N2 - This paper analyzes regional interdependencies and trajectories of the energy and agriculture sectors in Germany's Northwest Metropolitan Region in order to assess the performance of regional low-cost and low-carbon strategies to alter energy sector profiles in the light of changing socioeconomic, technological and climate conditions. Our assessment is based on a dynamic, interactive simulation model for the years 2010 to 2050, which was developed and played out in close collaboration with diverse stakeholder groups in the region. Results from the model and modeling exercises demonstrate the need to increase energy efficiency because the reduction in demand it generates extends the policy space for decreasing emissions and reduces vulnerability to climate change. The results also show the feasibility of expanding renewable energy without heavy reliance on biomass, which currently is an important and contested source of energy in the region.
AB - This paper analyzes regional interdependencies and trajectories of the energy and agriculture sectors in Germany's Northwest Metropolitan Region in order to assess the performance of regional low-cost and low-carbon strategies to alter energy sector profiles in the light of changing socioeconomic, technological and climate conditions. Our assessment is based on a dynamic, interactive simulation model for the years 2010 to 2050, which was developed and played out in close collaboration with diverse stakeholder groups in the region. Results from the model and modeling exercises demonstrate the need to increase energy efficiency because the reduction in demand it generates extends the policy space for decreasing emissions and reduces vulnerability to climate change. The results also show the feasibility of expanding renewable energy without heavy reliance on biomass, which currently is an important and contested source of energy in the region.
KW - Energy transitions
KW - Regional development
KW - Regional integrated assessment
KW - Renewable energy
KW - Simulation modeling
KW - Stakeholder engagement
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84921512605&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.12.025
DO - 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.12.025
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84921512605
VL - 111
SP - 29
EP - 47
JO - Ecological Economics
JF - Ecological Economics
SN - 0921-8009
ER -