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Journal | Value in Health |
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Date | Accepted/In press - 19 Apr 2019 |
Date | E-pub ahead of print - 18 Jun 2019 |
Date | Published (current) - Sep 2019 |
Issue number | 9 |
Volume | 22 |
Number of pages | 8 |
Pages (from-to) | 995-1002 |
Early online date | 18/06/19 |
Original language | English |
OBJECTIVE: Estimates of the marginal productivity of the health sector are required for a wide range of resource allocation decisions. Founding these estimates on robust empirical analysis can inform these decisions and improve allocative efficiency. This article estimates the annual marginal productivity of the English NHS over a 10-year period (between 2003 and 2012).
METHODS: Data on expenditure and mortality by program budget category are used in conjunction with socioeconomic and demographic variables from the censuses for 2001 and 2011. This article applies an econometric strategy that employs an established instrumental variable approach, which is then subjected to a number of sensitivity analyses. The results of the econometric analysis, along with additional data on the burden of disease, are used to generate an estimate of the marginal productivity for each of the study years.
RESULTS: We find that an additional unit of health benefit has cost between £5000 and £15 000 per quality-adjusted life-year from 2003 to 2012. Over this period these estimates (all in current prices) have increased at a faster rate than NHS price inflation, suggesting an increase in real terms.
CONCLUSIONS: These results are discussed in the context of the existing literature, and the potential policy implications for decisions about resource allocation are explored.
© 2019, ISPOR–The Professional Society for Health Economics and Outcomes Research. This is an author-produced version of the published paper. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher’s self-archiving policy.
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