Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Expected utility theory with imprecise probability perception : explaining preference reversals. / Bayrak, Oben; Hey, John Denis.
In: Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 24, No. 13, 2017, p. 906-910.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Expected utility theory with imprecise probability perception
T2 - explaining preference reversals
AU - Bayrak, Oben
AU - Hey, John Denis
N1 - © 2016, Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. This is an author-produced version of the published paper. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher’s self-archiving policy. Further copying may not be permitted; contact the publisher for details.
PY - 2017
Y1 - 2017
N2 - This article presents a new model for decision-making under risk, which provides an explanation for empirically-observed preference reversals. Central to the theory is the incorporation of probability perception imprecision, which arises because of individuals’ vague understanding of numerical probabilities. We combine this concept with the use of the Alpha EU model and construct a simple model which helps us to understand anomalies, such as preference reversals and valuation gaps, discovered in the experimental economics literature, that standard models cannot explain.
AB - This article presents a new model for decision-making under risk, which provides an explanation for empirically-observed preference reversals. Central to the theory is the incorporation of probability perception imprecision, which arises because of individuals’ vague understanding of numerical probabilities. We combine this concept with the use of the Alpha EU model and construct a simple model which helps us to understand anomalies, such as preference reversals and valuation gaps, discovered in the experimental economics literature, that standard models cannot explain.
KW - alpha EU model
KW - anomalies in expected utility theory
KW - decision under risk
KW - imprecise probability perceptions
KW - preference reversals
KW - valuation gaps
U2 - 10.1080/13504851.2016.1240332
DO - 10.1080/13504851.2016.1240332
M3 - Article
VL - 24
SP - 906
EP - 910
JO - Applied Economics Letters
JF - Applied Economics Letters
SN - 1350-4851
IS - 13
ER -