Insights into accuracy of social scientists' forecasts of societal change

Igor Grossmann, Amanda Rotella, Cendri A. Hutcherson, Konstantyn Sharpinskyi, Michael E. W. Varnum, Sebastian Achter, Mandeep K. Dhami, Xinqi Evie Guo, Mane Kara-Yakoubian, David R. Mandel, Louis Raes, Louis Tay, Aymeric Vie, Lisa Wagner, Matus Adamkovic, Arash Arami, Patrícia Arriaga, Kasun Bandara, Gabriel Baník, František BartošErnest Baskin, Christoph Bergmeir, Michał Białek, Caroline K. Børsting, Dillon T. Browne, Eugene M. Caruso, Rong Chen, Bin-Tzong Chie, William J. Chopik, Robert N. Collins, Chin W. Cong, Lucian G. Conway, Matthew Davis, Martin V. Day, Nathan A. Dhaliwal, Justin D. Durham, Martyna Dziekan, Christian T. Elbaek, Eric Shuman, Marharyta Fabrykant, Mustafa Firat, Geoffrey T. Fong, Jeremy A. Frimer, Jonathan M. Gallegos, Simon B. Goldberg, Anton Gollwitzer, Julia Goyal, Lorenz Graf-Vlachy, Scott D. Gronlund, Sebastian Hafenbrädl, Andree Hartanto, Matthew J. Hirshberg, Matthew J. Hornsey, Piers D. L. Howe, Anoosha Izadi, Bastian Jaeger, Pavol Kačmár, Yeun Joon Kim, Ruslan Krenzler, Daniel G. Lannin, Hung-Wen Lin, Nigel Mantou Lou, Verity Y. Q. Lua, Aaron W. Lukaszewski, Albert L. Ly, Christopher R. Madan, Maximilian Maier, Nadyanna M. Majeed, David S. March, Abigail A. Marsh, Michal Misiak, Kristian Ove Richter Myrseth, Jaime M. Napan, Jonathan Nicholas, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos, Jiaqing O, Tobias Otterbring, Mariola Paruzel-Czachura, Shiva Pauer, John Protzko, Quentin Raffaelli, Ivan Ropovik, Robert M. Ross, Yefim Roth, Espen Røysamb, Landon Schnabel, Astrid Schütz, Matthias Seifert, A. Timur Sevincer, Garrick T. Sherman, Otto Simonsson, Ming-Chien Sung, Chung-Ching Tai, Thomas Talhelm, Bethany A. Teachman, Philip E. Tetlock, Dimitrios Thomakos, Dwight C. K. Tse, Oliver J. Twardus, Joshua M. Tybur, Lyle Ungar, Daan Vandermeulen, Leighton Vaughan Williams, Hrag A. Vosgerichian, Qi Wang, Ke Wang, Mark E. Whiting, Conny E. Wollbrant, Tao Yang, Kumar Yogeeswaran, Sangsuk Yoon, Ventura R. Alves, Jessica R. Andrews-Hanna, Paul A. Bloom, Anthony Boyles, Loo Charis, Mingyeong Choi, Sean Darling-Hammond, Zoe E. Ferguson, Cheryl R. Kaiser, Simon T. Karg, Alberto López Ortega, Lori Mahoney, Melvin S. Marsh, Marcellin F. R. C. Martinie, Eli K. Michaels, Philip Millroth, Jeanean B. Naqvi, Weiting Ng, Robb B. Rutledge, Peter Slattery, Adam H. Smiley, Oliver Strijbis, Daniel Sznycer, Eli Tsukayama, Austin van Loon, Jan G. Voelkel, Margaux N. A. Wienk, Tom Wilkening, The Forecasting Collaborative

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Original languageEnglish
JournalNature Human Behaviour
Early online date9 Feb 2023
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 9 Feb 2023

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