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Measuring monetary policy deviations from the Taylor rule

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Publication details

JournalEconomics Letters
DateAccepted/In press - 29 Mar 2018
DateE-pub ahead of print - 8 Apr 2018
DatePublished (current) - Jul 2018
Number of pages3
Pages (from-to)25-27
Early online date8/04/18
Original languageEnglish


We estimate deviations of the federal funds rate from the Taylor rule by taking into account the endogeneity of output and inflation to changes in interest rates. We do this by simulating the paths of these variables through a DSGE model using the estimated time series for the exogenous processes except for monetary shocks. We then show that taking the endogeneity of output and inflation into account can make a significant quantitative difference (which can exceed 40 basis points) when calculating the appropriate value of interest rates according to the Taylor rule.

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© 2018 Elsevier B.V. This is an author-produced version of the published paper. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher’s self-archiving policy.

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