New Evidence on the Historical Growth of Government in Europe: The Role of Labor Costs

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Abstract

We document a robust positive correlation between the size of government and the labor share of income in data from European countries covering the period 1869-1975. Following Facchini et al (2017), we interpret this correlation as evidence that labor costs drive public spending. The long-term increase in the labor share observed over this period explains half of the overall growth of central government. The relationship holds when the labor share is instrumented with movements in technological change at the frontier. When decomposing public spending, transfers, not intensive in labor, are the only component not associated with the labor share.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)445-460
Number of pages16
JournalEuropean Journal of Political Economy
Volume59
Early online date7 Jun 2019
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sep 2019

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