TY - JOUR
T1 - New Evidence on the Historical Growth of Government in Europe
T2 - The Role of Labor Costs
AU - Pickering, Andrew Christopher
AU - Melki, Mickael
N1 - © 2019 Elsevier B.V. This is an author-produced version of the published paper. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher’s self-archiving policy.
PY - 2019/9
Y1 - 2019/9
N2 - We document a robust positive correlation between the size of government and the labor share of income in data from European countries covering the period 1869-1975. Following Facchini et al (2017), we interpret this correlation as evidence that labor costs drive public spending. The long-term increase in the labor share observed over this period explains half of the overall growth of central government. The relationship holds when the labor share is instrumented with movements in technological change at the frontier. When decomposing public spending, transfers, not intensive in labor, are the only component not associated with the labor share.
AB - We document a robust positive correlation between the size of government and the labor share of income in data from European countries covering the period 1869-1975. Following Facchini et al (2017), we interpret this correlation as evidence that labor costs drive public spending. The long-term increase in the labor share observed over this period explains half of the overall growth of central government. The relationship holds when the labor share is instrumented with movements in technological change at the frontier. When decomposing public spending, transfers, not intensive in labor, are the only component not associated with the labor share.
U2 - 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2019.05.006
DO - 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2019.05.006
M3 - Article
VL - 59
SP - 445
EP - 460
JO - European Journal of Political Economy
JF - European Journal of Political Economy
SN - 0176-2680
ER -