Optimal retention level for infinite time horizons under MADM

Başak Bulut Karageyik*, Şule Şahin

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In this paper, we approximate the aggregate claims process by using the translated gamma process under the classical risk model assumptions, and we investigate the ultimate ruin probability. We consider optimal reinsurance under the minimum ultimate ruin probability, as well as the maximum benefit criteria: released capital, expected profit and exponential-fractional-logarithmic utility from the insurer’s point of view. Numerical examples are presented to explain how the optimal initial surplus and retention level are changed according to the individual claim amounts, loading factors and weights of the criteria. In the decision making process, we use The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and The Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to ideal Solution (TOPSIS) methods as the Multi-Attribute Decision Making methods (MADM) and compare our results considering different combinations of loading factors for both exponential and Pareto individual claims.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1
Number of pages24
JournalRisks
Volume5
Issue number1
Early online date19 Dec 2016
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2017

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2016 by the authors; licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.

Keywords

  • Expected profit
  • Expected utility
  • MADM
  • Optimal reinsurance
  • Released capital
  • Translated gamma process
  • Ultimate ruin probability

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