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Projected latitudinal and regional changes in vascular plant diversity through climate change: Short-term gains and longer-term losses

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Projected latitudinal and regional changes in vascular plant diversity through climate change : Short-term gains and longer-term losses. / Venevskaia, I.; Thomas, C.D.; Venevsky, S.

In: Biodiversity and Conservation, Vol. 22, No. 6-7, 01.06.2013, p. 1467-1483.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Harvard

Venevskaia, I, Thomas, CD & Venevsky, S 2013, 'Projected latitudinal and regional changes in vascular plant diversity through climate change: Short-term gains and longer-term losses', Biodiversity and Conservation, vol. 22, no. 6-7, pp. 1467-1483. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-013-0486-4

APA

Venevskaia, I., Thomas, C. D., & Venevsky, S. (2013). Projected latitudinal and regional changes in vascular plant diversity through climate change: Short-term gains and longer-term losses. Biodiversity and Conservation, 22(6-7), 1467-1483. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-013-0486-4

Vancouver

Venevskaia I, Thomas CD, Venevsky S. Projected latitudinal and regional changes in vascular plant diversity through climate change: Short-term gains and longer-term losses. Biodiversity and Conservation. 2013 Jun 1;22(6-7):1467-1483. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-013-0486-4

Author

Venevskaia, I. ; Thomas, C.D. ; Venevsky, S. / Projected latitudinal and regional changes in vascular plant diversity through climate change : Short-term gains and longer-term losses. In: Biodiversity and Conservation. 2013 ; Vol. 22, No. 6-7. pp. 1467-1483.

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@article{19ae1310752e4cc3aa8ef2ad52099315,
title = "Projected latitudinal and regional changes in vascular plant diversity through climate change: Short-term gains and longer-term losses",
abstract = "A simple approach is suggested to project potential changes in the diversity of vascular plants. We use the current (recent past) relationship between plant diversity and geographic variation in the climate, as well as elevation range, to project changes in regional species richness (at 100 × 100 km resolution), concentrating on six climate scenarios for 2020, 2050 and 2080. The results show an overall trend towards increased vascular plant species richness. Increases in richness by 2050 and 2080 are expected over approximately three-quarters of the land surface, but decreases are expected in other regions. The magnitudes of richness gains and losses both increase over time, as the level of warming grows. The latitudinal pattern of change suggests that richness increases will be greatest at high latitudes, where plant productivity and diversity are largely limited by temperature. Richness decreases are not projected consistently in any latitudinal band, but are most likely to be observed at 5-40N, where declines in precipitation drive most projected decreases in richness.",
author = "I. Venevskaia and C.D. Thomas and S. Venevsky",
year = "2013",
month = "6",
day = "1",
doi = "10.1007/s10531-013-0486-4",
language = "English",
volume = "22",
pages = "1467--1483",
journal = "Biodiversity and Conservation",
issn = "0960-3115",
publisher = "Springer Netherlands",
number = "6-7",

}

RIS (suitable for import to EndNote) - Download

TY - JOUR

T1 - Projected latitudinal and regional changes in vascular plant diversity through climate change

T2 - Biodiversity and Conservation

AU - Venevskaia, I.

AU - Thomas, C.D.

AU - Venevsky, S.

PY - 2013/6/1

Y1 - 2013/6/1

N2 - A simple approach is suggested to project potential changes in the diversity of vascular plants. We use the current (recent past) relationship between plant diversity and geographic variation in the climate, as well as elevation range, to project changes in regional species richness (at 100 × 100 km resolution), concentrating on six climate scenarios for 2020, 2050 and 2080. The results show an overall trend towards increased vascular plant species richness. Increases in richness by 2050 and 2080 are expected over approximately three-quarters of the land surface, but decreases are expected in other regions. The magnitudes of richness gains and losses both increase over time, as the level of warming grows. The latitudinal pattern of change suggests that richness increases will be greatest at high latitudes, where plant productivity and diversity are largely limited by temperature. Richness decreases are not projected consistently in any latitudinal band, but are most likely to be observed at 5-40N, where declines in precipitation drive most projected decreases in richness.

AB - A simple approach is suggested to project potential changes in the diversity of vascular plants. We use the current (recent past) relationship between plant diversity and geographic variation in the climate, as well as elevation range, to project changes in regional species richness (at 100 × 100 km resolution), concentrating on six climate scenarios for 2020, 2050 and 2080. The results show an overall trend towards increased vascular plant species richness. Increases in richness by 2050 and 2080 are expected over approximately three-quarters of the land surface, but decreases are expected in other regions. The magnitudes of richness gains and losses both increase over time, as the level of warming grows. The latitudinal pattern of change suggests that richness increases will be greatest at high latitudes, where plant productivity and diversity are largely limited by temperature. Richness decreases are not projected consistently in any latitudinal band, but are most likely to be observed at 5-40N, where declines in precipitation drive most projected decreases in richness.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84878661509&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1007/s10531-013-0486-4

DO - 10.1007/s10531-013-0486-4

M3 - Article

VL - 22

SP - 1467

EP - 1483

JO - Biodiversity and Conservation

JF - Biodiversity and Conservation

SN - 0960-3115

IS - 6-7

ER -