TY - JOUR
T1 - Regional energy demand and adaptations to climate change
T2 - Methodology and application to the state of Maryland, USA
AU - Ruth, Matthias
AU - Lin, Ai Chen
PY - 2006/11
Y1 - 2006/11
N2 - This paper explores potential impacts of climate change on natural gas, electricity and heating oil use by the residential and commercial sectors in the state of Maryland, USA. Time series analysis is used to quantify historical temperature-energy demand relationships. A dynamic computer model uses those relationships to simulate future energy demand under a range of energy prices, temperatures and other drivers. The results indicate that climate exerts a comparably small signal on future energy demand, but that the combined climate and non-climate-induced changes in energy demand may pose significant challenges to policy and investment decisions in the state.
AB - This paper explores potential impacts of climate change on natural gas, electricity and heating oil use by the residential and commercial sectors in the state of Maryland, USA. Time series analysis is used to quantify historical temperature-energy demand relationships. A dynamic computer model uses those relationships to simulate future energy demand under a range of energy prices, temperatures and other drivers. The results indicate that climate exerts a comparably small signal on future energy demand, but that the combined climate and non-climate-induced changes in energy demand may pose significant challenges to policy and investment decisions in the state.
KW - Climate change
KW - Commercial energy demand
KW - Residential energy demand
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=33746951480&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.enpol.2005.04.016
DO - 10.1016/j.enpol.2005.04.016
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:33746951480
VL - 34
SP - 2820
EP - 2833
JO - Energy policy
JF - Energy policy
SN - 0301-4215
IS - 17
ER -