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Standards for distribution models in biodiversity assessments

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Author(s)

  • Miguel B. Araujo
  • Robert P. Anderson
  • A. Marcia Barbosa
  • Colin Michael Beale
  • Carsten F. Dormann
  • Regan Isabella Early
  • Raquel Garcia
  • Antoine Guisan
  • Luigi Maiorano
  • Babak Naimi
  • Robert B. O'Hara
  • Niklaus E. Zimmermann
  • Carsten Rahbek

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Publication details

JournalScience Advances
DateAccepted/In press - 11 Dec 2018
DatePublished (current) - 16 Jan 2019
Issue number1
Volume5
Number of pages11
Original languageEnglish

Abstract

Demand for models in biodiversity assessments is rising, but which models are adequate for the task? We propose a set of best-practice standards and detailed guidelines enabling scoring of studies based on species distribution models for use in biodiversity assessments. We reviewed and scored 400 modeling studies over the past 20 years using the proposed standards and guidelines. We detected low model adequacy overall, but with a marked tendency of improvement over time in model building and, to a lesser degree, in biological data and model evaluation. We argue that implementation of agreed-upon standards for models in biodiversity assessments would promote transparency and repeatability, eventually leading to higher quality of the models and the inferences used in assessments. We encourage broad community participation toward the expansion and ongoing development of the proposed standards and guidelines.

Bibliographical note

© 2019 The Authors

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