TY - JOUR
T1 - Sustainable prosperity and societal transitions
T2 - Long-term modeling for anticipatory management
AU - Ruth, Matthias
AU - Kalnay, Eugenia
AU - Zeng, Ning
AU - Franklin, Rachel S.
AU - Rivas, Jorge
AU - Miralles-Wilhelm, Fernando
PY - 2011/6
Y1 - 2011/6
N2 - The coupled nature of human and earth system dynamics has become increasingly apparent as humanity's environmental footprint has increased. Yet, the methods and processes used to understand and guide those dynamics remain deficient in their treatment of that coupling. Lack of bi-directional coupling of human system dynamics with the dynamics of the larger environment within which humanity operates stymies the ability of researchers and policymakers to anticipate and limit the unintended consequences of technological change and help guide associated societal transitions. This paper lays out elements of a research agenda to ameliorate those deficiencies.
AB - The coupled nature of human and earth system dynamics has become increasingly apparent as humanity's environmental footprint has increased. Yet, the methods and processes used to understand and guide those dynamics remain deficient in their treatment of that coupling. Lack of bi-directional coupling of human system dynamics with the dynamics of the larger environment within which humanity operates stymies the ability of researchers and policymakers to anticipate and limit the unintended consequences of technological change and help guide associated societal transitions. This paper lays out elements of a research agenda to ameliorate those deficiencies.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=79958010796&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.eist.2011.03.004
DO - 10.1016/j.eist.2011.03.004
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:79958010796
VL - 1
SP - 160
EP - 165
JO - Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions
JF - Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions
SN - 2210-4224
IS - 1
ER -