The Science and Superstition of Quantitative Risk Assessment

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution



Publication details

Title of host publicationProceedings of PSAM 11 & ESREL 2012
DatePublished - Jul 2012
Number of pages10
PublisherInternational Association of Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, IAPSAM
Original languageEnglish


In safety, environmental, and financial regulation the public are often asked to accept estimates of a concept, “risk”, that they cannot directly perceive. Faith in these estimates is supported by logical reasoning but not by empirical evidence. Unfortunately, the evidence that does exist about risk phenomena indicates that human reasoning about risk is highly unreliable.

Discover related content

Find related publications, people, projects, datasets and more using interactive charts.

View graph of relations